如果歷史事件可作為衡量基準(zhǔn)，那么日前在波士頓發(fā)生的恐怖攻擊行動(dòng)，將帶動(dòng)對(duì)于安全與監(jiān)控設(shè)備的支出增加。根據(jù)市場(chǎng)研究公司IHS表示，這場(chǎng)本月稍早發(fā)生于波士頓馬拉松賽的悲慘爆炸事件，可能刺激對(duì)于視頻監(jiān)控設(shè)備的支出大幅增加。 根據(jù)來(lái)自IHS IMS的最新預(yù)測(cè)研究，全球視頻監(jiān)控設(shè)備收入預(yù)計(jì)將在2016年時(shí)增加到205億美元，較2010年同期的96億美元大幅成長(zhǎng)114%。而在波士頓發(fā)生爆炸事件后，IHS認(rèn)為，這一成長(zhǎng)態(tài)勢(shì)可能更為顯著(該公司目前正修訂其預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)字)。 IHS指出，征諸以往歷史顯示在發(fā)生嚴(yán)重的恐怖政擊行動(dòng)后，如波士頓馬拉松爆炸事件，均帶動(dòng)了政府在安全方面的支出大幅提升。 視頻監(jiān)控在某些地方幾乎已經(jīng)是無(wú)所不在了，多到甚至引發(fā)對(duì)于侵犯?jìng)€(gè)人穩(wěn)私的爭(zhēng)議。然而，隨著這項(xiàng)技術(shù)變得越來(lái)越便宜，以及更多起嚴(yán)重的恐布攻擊行動(dòng)發(fā)生在全世界各地，很顯然地，有越來(lái)越多的地方都需要維持全天候的視頻監(jiān)控。 IHS視頻監(jiān)控部門資深經(jīng)理Paul Everet表示，視頻監(jiān)控市場(chǎng)取決于一些原因錯(cuò)綜復(fù)雜且變幻莫測(cè)的情況，是很難或無(wú)法預(yù)料的，包括經(jīng)濟(jì)情勢(shì)、政府支出以及恐怖主義事件。

全球視訊監(jiān)控設(shè)備市場(chǎng)成長(zhǎng)預(yù)測(cè)(以產(chǎn)品類別計(jì)；單位：百萬(wàn)美元)（來(lái)源：IHS，2012/04）
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“雖然現(xiàn)在要說(shuō)波士頓爆炸事件將起到什么作用還為時(shí)過(guò)早，但從過(guò)去的事件來(lái)看──如911以及倫敦地鐵爆炸案，均導(dǎo)致政府增加公共場(chǎng)所的視頻監(jiān)控支出，特別是在交通運(yùn)輸部門?！盓verett說(shuō)。 政府的資金與立法對(duì)于整個(gè)視頻監(jiān)控支出總額發(fā)揮重要作用，不過(guò)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素也是一項(xiàng)重要的考慮因素。IHS指出，美國(guó)聯(lián)邦緊急事務(wù)管理署(FEMA)已經(jīng)批準(zhǔn)了支出高達(dá)數(shù)百萬(wàn)美元的11項(xiàng)實(shí)體安全設(shè)備與視頻監(jiān)控提案補(bǔ)助。 HIS認(rèn)為新技術(shù)也有助于推動(dòng)視頻監(jiān)控支出成長(zhǎng)。目前視頻監(jiān)控市場(chǎng)正經(jīng)歷從類比到連網(wǎng)解決方案的新技術(shù)過(guò)渡，以實(shí)現(xiàn)基于網(wǎng)路的控制與安全監(jiān)控。預(yù)計(jì)在2014年以前，全球基于網(wǎng)絡(luò)的視頻監(jiān)控市場(chǎng)將快速攀升至70億美元，首度超越類比部份的65億美元。 編譯：Susan Hong 參考原文：Boston bombings likely to boost video surveillance gear sales，by Dylan McGrath

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{pagination} The tragic bombings that took place during the Boston Marathon earlier this month are likely to spur a dramatic increase in spending on video surveillance equipment, according to market research firm IHS. According to the latest forecast from IMS Research—now part of IHS--worldwide revenue for video surveillance is projected to rise to $20.5 billion in 2016, up a resounding 114 percent from $9.6 billion in 2010. Following the bombings, IHS said the growth may be even more dramatic (the firm is currently in the process of revising its forecast). History has shown that high-profile terrorism incidents such as the Boston Marathon bombings can drive increased government spending on security, IHS noted. Video surveillance is already near ubiquitous in some places, much to the chagrin of privacy advocates. But as the technology gets less expensive and more high-profile terrorist attacks are carried out throughout the world, the simple fact is that more and more places are going to be under constant video surveillance. That's just the way it is. "The growth outlook of the video surveillance industry is subject to significant variances," said Paul Everett, senior manager of video surveillance at IHS. According to Everett, the video surveillance market is dependent upon the vagaries of several intertwined factors that are difficult or impossible to predict, including economic conditions, government spending and terrorism incidents. "While it’s too early to tell exactly what impact the Boston bombing will have, past events—like 9/11 and the London Underground bombings—have led to increased government spending on video surveillance for public spaces, particularly in the transport sector," Everett said. Government funding and legislation play a major role in total video-surveillance spending, even though economic factors are also an important consideration according to IHS. The U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has issued 11 grants for physical-security equipment and video surveillance that have generated millions of dollars of spending, the firm said. New technologies are also contributing to rising spending on video surveillance, IHS said. Currently the market is undergoing a transition from analog to network solutions that enable network-based control and the monitoring of security and surveillance. By 2014, the global market for network-based video surveillance will climb to $7 billion, surpassing for the first time ever the analog segment at $6.5 billion, according to IHS.

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